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Arch Manning Heisman Odds Drop After Texas Loss

The quarterback's odds fell to +40,000 following a 27-24 loss as the team prepares to host Ole Miss on Saturday.

Updated on Oct. 20, 2026 in Football

Arch Manning Heisman Odds Drop After Texas Loss

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Should college football award rankings prioritize an individual player's statistics over their team's win-loss record?

Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning has seen his Heisman Trophy odds slide to +40,000 following a tough 27-24 loss to Florida. The setback, coming on the heels of a defeat against Oklahoma, marks a difficult stretch for the 4-2 Texas football team.

Why it matters

The team's consecutive losses have disrupted momentum for the program and shifted expectations for individual honors. Fans are now looking toward Saturday's matchup against No. 7 Ole Miss to see if the offense can regain its footing.

Arch Manning has recorded 1,295 passing yards, 11 touchdowns, and five interceptions this season. His Heisman odds now sit at +40,000 following the team's 4-2 record and the 27-24 loss to Florida.

The players

Arch Manning

The quarterback for the University of Texas football team.

Jeremiah Smith

The current betting favorite for the Heisman Trophy.

The details

Late-game turnovers played a significant role in recent struggles, contributing to back-to-back losses that have impacted both the team's standing and individual award projections. Texas will look to rebound as they prepare to host No. 7 Ole Miss this Saturday. Whether the squad can address these late-game execution errors remains the primary question as the schedule continues.

Timeline

  1. October 17, 2026: Texas lost to Florida 27-24.

  2. Saturday: Texas hosts No. 7 Ole Miss.

The Texas Context

The 2026 college football Heisman race has been defined by high volatility in betting markets as top contenders face tough mid-season tests. Manning's current standing reflects a sharp departure from earlier projections as the team navigates its recent 4-2 record.

Fans heading to the stadium this Saturday will be watching to see if the team can overcome the late-game turnover struggles seen in recent weeks. Kickoff against No. 7 Ole Miss serves as the critical test for the Longhorns' path forward this season.

The takeaway

The sharp drop in betting odds serves as a reminder of how quickly individual honors shift during a demanding college season. Watch the team's ball security closely during Saturday's home game against Ole Miss to see if the recent turnover trends continue.

Further reading

Get the latest updates on the team and the rest of the season on our Football page.

Source note: This article includes information reported by KXAN.

Live Poll

Should college football award rankings prioritize an individual player's statistics over their team's win-loss record?